August 4 Weekend Roundup: End of Summer Blockbusters

The Dark Tower failed to deliver to the long awaited fans of the Stephen King novels as it opened with a lackluster $19.1M. Katheryn Biegelow’s Detroit expanded to wide release earning $7.1M. Kidnap despite its numerous delays finally managed to pull in audiences at $10.1M.

All three films were well within our models’ confidence intervals.

The below chart shows our forecasts (lower bound, mean, upper bound) from last Friday next to several other industry forecasts and actual performance.

Title Actual Pilot
The Dark Tower $19.1M ($18.3M, $18.7M, $19.4M) $17.2M $20M $24M
Detroit $7.1M ($7.7M, $8.1M, $8.2M) $8.3M $12.5M $8M
Kidnap $10.1M ($8.4M, $8.9M, $9.2M) $8.5M $8M $8M

We’ll be back later this week with forecasts for Annabelle: Creation and The Nut Job 2.

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