February 24 Weekend Roundup: 'Get Out' Marks Another Blumhouse Horror Win
Get Out opened to a stellar $30.5M this weekend, riding extremely positive advance critic reviews and a relatively high rate of social media growth. It slightly outperformed our estimates by less than 5%. Both Collide and Rock Dog opened to some of the lowest numbers in recent memory, but our confidence intervals were able to accurately predict both grosses with a mean percent error of less than 10%.
The below chart shows our forecasts (lower bound, mean, upper bound) from last Friday next to several other industry forecasts and actual performance. Note: BoxOfficeMojo.com was not able to release forecasts for this weekend so they have not been included.
|Get Out||$30.5M||($26.8M, $28.1M, $29.4M)||$27M||None||$19M|
|Collide||$1.5M||($1.5M, $1.6M, $1.7M)||$3M||None||$4M|
|Rock Dog||$3.7M||($2.7M, $2.9M, $3M)||$2.8M||None||$3M|
We’ll be back later this week with forecasts for Logan, The Shack, and Before I Fall.