February 3 Weekend Forecast: 'Rings', 'The Space Between Us'
Is the winter box office oversaturated with horror films? So far this year, we’ve seen both The Bye Bye Man and Split debut to impressive opening weekend numbers, the former achieving this despite negative advance reviews. However, Rings looks to break this trend, being an 12-year delayed sequel to The Ring 2, itself a sequel to the successful American remake of Japanese horror hit Ringu (1998). Forecasts for Rings and teen science-fiction romance The Space Between Us are below.
All dollar amounts are rounded to the nearest thousand, and represent domestic opening only. A larger confidence interval may represent greater variance. Confidence intervals may not be normally distributed.
|Title||Lower Bound||Mean||Upper Bound|
|The Space Between Us||$5,248,000||$5,444,000||$5,641,000|
Despite featuring Johnny Galecki of The Big Bang Theory in a supporting role, Rings has been unable to maintain strong social media growth in the week prior to release, although a late-January surge and viral marketing campaign seem to have helped. Poor critic reviews may not scare away genre fans looking to relive a horror classic from the early 2000s, but Rings still looks likely to underperform Split in its third weekend.
The Space Between Us
The Fault In Our Stars but with a science fiction twist, The Space Between Us hopes to tap into the same demographic that propelled similar teen romance dramas to massive opening weekends. Respectable but comparatively low social media buzz, likely caused by the film’s four separate release date changes in the past six months, may ultimately dash those dreams.