July 14 Weekend Roundup: Planet Earth Belongs to the Apes

Our friendly neighborhood superhero was beaten by our friendly neighborhood monkeys, as War for the Planet of the Apes outperformed Spider-Man: Homecoming at the box office last weekend. In this battle of rebooted franchises, the third apes’ movie stole the top spot by grossing $56.3M well within the upper range of our model’s predictions. On a lesser scale, Wish Upon underperformed and came at 7th place with $5.5M over about 2,250 theaters.

The below chart shows our forecasts (lower bound, mean, upper bound) from last Friday next to several other industry forecasts and actual performance.

Title Actual Pilot BoxOffice.com BoxOfficeMojo.com The-Numbers.com
War for the Planet of the Apes $56.3M ($50.6M, $53.1M, $56M) $54M $70M $55M
Wish Upon $5.5M ($6.9M, $7.2M, $7.3M) $6.5M $7M $7M

We’ll be back later this week with forecasts for Dunkirk, Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets, and Girls Trip.

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