June 30 Weekend Forecast: 'Despicable Me 3', 'Baby Driver', 'The House'

Another franchise entry looks to dominate the weekend box office, setting the new record for widest opening number of theaters ever. Despicable Me 3 is the fourth entry in a series that proved to be one of the most profitable in the last few years. At over 4,500 theaters, our model projects the film’s final prediction opening at $84.6M.

Edgar Wright returns after the Ant-Man controversy, with another critically-acclaimed action-comedy, Baby Driver. Baby Driver faces the challenges of being an original new film. Our models forecast a $27M opening for this potential sleeper hit.

The House suffers from its weak social media presence and poor reception. Our models’ prediction for the weekend is a muted $10.1M.

Forecasts for this weekend are below. All dollar amounts are rounded to the nearest thousand, and only represent domestic opening. A larger confidence interval may represent greater variance. Confidence intervals may not be normally distributed.

Title Lower Bound Mean Upper Bound
Despicable Me 3 $83,523,000 $84,638,000 $85,753,000
Baby Driver $25,874,000 $27,088,000 $28,302,000
The House $9,943,000 $10,997,000 $12,051,000

Despicable Me 3

There is no denying that the Minions have successfuly invaded the minds of children and families everywhere as commodities with fuzzy, friendly faces. Despicable Me 3 will continue the series’ box office hit. However, there are signs of slowing down as fourth installments in franchises often do.

Baby Driver

Even though Baby Driver appears to have the strongest chance of being a cult classic one day, will it attract audiences this weeekend? The stellar reviews and reception support a solid $27M opening in our forecast.

The House

Despite the popularity of well-known comedic celebrities Will Ferrell and Amy Poehler, The House struggles to bring in audiences to what looks to be another forgettable comedy.

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