March 3 Weekend Roundup: 'Logan' Claws Its Way to the Top
Logan debuted to the 3rd-best X-Men opening ever, just $2M behind X-Men: Days of Future Past and $14M behind X-Men: The Last Stand. (Although Deadpool technically falls into the same franchise, it’s omitted from this ranking because its cast and story are completely different.) Both Before I Fall and The Shack performed as expected, and although our forecast slightly overpredicted Before I Fall, our percent error for Logan and The Shack was under 5%.
The below chart shows our forecasts (lower bound, mean, upper bound) from last Friday next to several other industry forecasts and actual performance.
|Logan||$88.4M||($85.6M, $87.1M, $88.6M)||$86M||$74M||$85M|
|Before I Fall||$4.7M||($6.0M, $6.3M, $6.5M)||$3.5M||$4M||$5M|
|The Shack||$16.2M||($12.5M, $14.1M, $15.7M)||$12.5M||$12.5M||$12M|
We’ll be back later this week with forecasts for Kong: Skull Island.